But that’s what winter season forecasting is all about. Will the blob break up? Will the El Nino pattern change? There are several unknowns, as usual. Due to forcasted inclement weather forecasted into the evening. I would say there’s about a 20 percent chance of more than 40 inches, and a rather low 20 percent chance of less than 20 inches. Columbus Boulevard, Philadelphia, PA 19106. The 30-35 inches of snow for Philly is about 10 inches above normal. 24, 2021 Federal scientists on Thursday forecast that 2021 could see in the range of 13 to 20 named storms, six to 10 hurricanes, and three to five. Additional significant events included a late. So, it will likely be the coldest winter since 2014-15. The 202122 North American winter was not as significant and record-breaking as the previous winter season. But in a warming climate, that is hard achieve. This all adds up to slightly below normal temperatures for the winter. In March, the temps drop and so does another 8 inches of snow. The pattern changes in January, with 12 inches of snow and temperatures far below normal.įebruary reverses again, with milder temps, but still delivers about 10 inches of snow. A mild winter is in the forecast for most of the southeastern U.S., but its not the air temperature that AccuWeather meteorologists are. In December, I’m predicting a mere 3 inches of snow, and well above-normal temperatures. Severe weather to follow hurricane season in Southeast. Both are in favorable positions for the colder and snowier winter that my other factors indicate. Like most seasonal forecasters, I also look at other ocean indices such as the PDO, and even high up in the stratosphere (the QBO. That winter was also near a solar maximum. Our snowiest month was March, with 12 inches. We had 27 inches of snow that winter, which was above normal, but not by much, considering how cold it was. For us, October turned out warm, and November ended up cold. Expect a lot of variability with periods of mild weather, followed by cold blasts, with many weak clipper-type systems. However, experts do not anticipate the historic level of storm activity seen in 2020. Winter Weather Experimental Probabilistic Snow and Ice Low End Amount 9 in 10 Chance (90) of Higher Snowfall Expected Snowfall - Official NWS Forecast. ![]() Forecasters predict a 60 chance of an above-normal season, a 30 chance of a near-normal season, and a 10 chance of a below-normal season. There was way above normal snow cover during October in Eurasia and the Northern Hemisphere. WINTER WEATHER OUTLOOK 2021/2022 Here it is, in case you missed it. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is predicting another above-normal Atlantic hurricane season.You may ask, "What was the winter of 2014-15 like?" Well, it happened to be the last winter we had with below normal temperatures. In fact, the entire southern half of the country - Midwest, Ohio Valley and Eastern Seaboard - is forecast to have a warmer-than-average winter.
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